Currency Corner
Free Forex News & Commentary



Market Harmonic's founder Tony Carrion is now part of the team of Forex analysts at Elliott Wave International.  Learn about EWI's round-the-clock intraday, daily and longer-term Forex market coverage.

Currency Pair Sentiment vs. USD
From the most recent Commitments of Traders (COT) Data

Unweighted Major Currency Average (UMCA) & Currency Pair Strength
(Our Proprietary Unweighted Index of US Dollar Performance)

Forex Intraday Forecasts
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Elliott Wave & Fibonacci Guide

 

The Buck's Big Bang

Apparently, a number of traders were caught flatfooted by the US dollar's recent surge. As the chart below suggests, the number of Large Speculators (institutional traders) who were net long Euro futures achieved eleven year highs in April. The flip side is that this was an extreme in bearish sentiment in the Dollar versus the Euro , which was a warning. The current reversal of net long positions may get a lot deeper if the Dollar has begun a major advance. 

Although we thought we might see one final low before a USD bottom, our proprietary Unweighted Major Currency Average suggests the Dollar struck a key low back in February and began a stealth recovery that's since broken higher.

There's still a possibility the wave (4) correction isn't over, but a significant advance above the wave B high would support the case for a bottom. We'll be watching. 


Do you trade EURUSD, USDJPY, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, USDCHF, USDCAD, EURJPY, GBPJPY, EURGBP, EURCHF or AUDJPY?   Learn about EWI's round-the-clock intraday, daily and longer-term Forex market coverage.  

Elliott Wave International is now offering a Cryto-currency forecasting service, where my colleagues and I are providing round the clock coverage. Click here to learn more.


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